Tom Brady - not Donald Trump - is the epitome of what a modern leader should be. Believe me, as a Dallas Cowboy fan(atic), it pains me to write that. However, I’ve come to realize that great QBs like Brady combine timeless virtues of sacrifice, courage and leadership by example along with Nate Silver-like data processing skills. To succeed on the football field these days, QBs have to be one part Achilles and one part algorithm.
Let’s look at the traditional tool kit first. The demands on leaders evolve, but some elements remain constant. A team - or an army - will only follow someone into battle if they are inspired by their sacrifice, courage and example. Tom Brady checks these boxes.
Sacrifice
When you tune in on Sunday, remember that these players have been preparing for this moment all year and - in some senses - their entire lives. From their winter off-season training regimens to summer training camp, they’ve continuously pushed, lifted and iced their bodies to be physically ready for this game. Sometimes, the sacrifice is more about what they don’t do. Boston.com once interviewed Tom Brady's personal chef, who revealed that he eats a diet so strict that it consists of 80 percent vegetables - and doesn't include dairy, coffee, mushrooms, peppers, tomatoes, white sugar, white flour or salt!
Elite QBs have to go further than simply lifting weights and eating right, though. Every week, they invest hours reviewing film of their performances, as well as those of their upcoming opponents, in an effort to gain any edge that will prove decisive in a pivotal moment. Peyton Manning, perhaps the most cerebral QB of all time, was legendary for his commitment to film room study. If he played on Sunday afternoon, he was already dissecting his plays that same evening.
So modern QBs have to marry preparation with perspiration - but that alone is not enough to succeed. They also have to be the bravest men on the field.
Show Courage
Imagine a lightning-fast 290 lb JJ Watt bearing down on you with malicious intent - and then realize that there could be 3 other equally hulking defensive linemen coming behind him, along with a few others if you’re facing an all-out blitz (“bringing the house”, in football parlance). Then picture yourself standing resolutely in a rapidly collapsing “pocket” (the small space created by your offensive linemen blocking the behemoths) and waiting until your receiver hits his mark to throw the ball - even though you know you’re about to get crushed. Now get up, dust yourself off … and be ready to do that again and again - for the next 3 hours.
Showing courage is one way that QBs lead by example. but there are other, sometimes even more effective means to inspire your team mates.
Lead by Example
Sports Illustrated had a much-discussed cover story a few years ago about Brady’s fanatical training and preparation, and out of it came this telling anecdote. ” When Rodney Harrison played with Brady, the safety showed up at 6:40 a.m. to lift weights. "Good afternoon," Brady said to him. So the next day Harrison showed up at 6:30. "Good afternoon." Then 6:20. Then 6:10. Then 6. "Good afternoon" each time, until Harrison finally said, "Screw you, Tom. I'm not coming in any earlier."
It’s not just what they do in the days and weeks before the game, but also what they master in the seconds before each snap - that mark signal callers as model 21st century leaders.
Process Big Data in seconds
When QBs step up to the line of scrimmage, you might think that not much is going on. Nothing could be further from the truth. After having just called the play in the huddle (something “simple”, like flip right duo X motion fake roll 98 block pass special), the QB visualizes each route up to 5 receivers will run while simultaneously comparing the call with the “look” the defence is giving him. He has to “read” the defensive alignment facing him, sift through his hours of film preparation to see if he recognizes a certain tendency that can predict what it means, and then determine if his play is the right one of TWO (typically QBs have a back-up play call for each down), make a decision (keep play 1 or switch to play 2) and then execute the necessary adjustments to his player formation and protection scheme. Sound complicated? Now realize that all of this happens in 10 seconds. QBs today have to be able to think like IBM’s Watson, except that they’re doing it in front of 11 men trying to kill them and - on Super Bowl Sunday - a hundred million watching them.
Believe it or not, that’s the “easy” part.
Make great decisions consistently under stress and physical duress
In the face of this enormous pressure, 80,000 screaming, hostile fans and a howling wind and snow if you’re playing in Green Bay in November, Tom Brady now has about 2.5 seconds after the ball is snapped to drop back, avoid getting crushed by the other team’s mastodons, and throw a football 25 yards downfield to a point where he believes his receiver will be - all the while threading the needle between multiple layers of defensive coverage.
Imagine doing this for this three hours while trying to succeed, but almost as importantly also avoiding disaster. On that topic …
Remember the Lesson, Forget the Mistake
… QBs have to have short memories. When they make a crushing error - like throwing a drive-killing interception - they don’t have the luxury of wallowing in self-pity. Great QBs quickly learn the lesson from that miscue - don’t throw into a 2 deep zone! - and then have to “forget” about it. If you’re still preoccupied by that pick the next time you go out on the field, you’re even more likely to make another mistake.
Your job on Sunday: Appreciate the Artistry
Great QBs like Tom Brady are the new prototype CEOs. The next time you catch Monday Night Football, take a minute to appreciate the hidden complexity of what you’re watching. Marvel at the months of sacrifice, the days of constantly leading by example, the hours of preparation, the sixty minutes to avoid a killer mistake and the seconds these men have to digest all that information in order to make it all come together in to a magical moment.
The Great Disruption
What the global economy, Blockbuster, going solo, hook-up culture, asynchronous intimacy, the Apple Maps app and ‘Homeland’ all have in common
We live in a world of broken models, columnist Robert Samuelson noted recently in The Washington Post. In his essay, Samuelson speculated that “to understand why world leaders can’t easily fix the sputtering global economy, you have to realize that the economic models on which the United States, Europe and China relied are collapsing.”
Samuelson confined his analysis to macroeconomics, but he's actually on to something. We find ourselves in a world turned upside down. The Greatest Generation had to survive the Great Depression; our generation, I believe, is being asked to navigate (rather than survive) the Great Disruption.
Let me explain. It's now conventional wisdom that companies from Blockbuster (RIP) to Borders (RIP) have seen their traditional business models disrupted. In the case of the former, their video stores were challenged by the advent of DVDs by mail, courtesy of Netflix. In the case of the latter, the transition from retail to e-commerce (and, soon, e-books) pioneered by Amazon hastened Borders’ demise. Even 'new' companies like BlackBerry (RIP soon?) are seeing their once mighty technological advantages being leapfrogged in the space of months, not years. It’s often said that “a week is a lifetime in politics.” This is increasingly true about business. For almost every company, the world as they knew it no longer exists.
But what if that described the rest of “life”, as well? What if our 'living models' are being disrupted today as much as business models have been? This is exactly what's happening, only it may not be as obvious.
From the way we live, date, mate and marry, traditional pillars of society are being transformed.
Taken together, it seems that we’re living through a revolution just slow enough to slip by almost unnoticed, but significant enough to upend our world.
Did you know that for the first time ever, a majority of Americans (51%) today are single? How about that 1 in 3 of Americans live alone? That number, by the way, rises to half the population in cities like Washington, DC and Manhattan. It’s not just that people are increasingly “going solo” or are putting off getting married; in some cases they are postponing that milestone - forever. Holy matrimony is not happening as often as it used to. When weddings do occur, they’re no longer necessarily between a man and a woman ( that's a good thing), and the unions are not lasting as long as they used to (that’s a bad thing).
Even the road to marriages and baby carriages has changed. These days, finding that partner - let alone a future husband or wife - is more complicated than ever before. Courtship, if it does exist, is far removed from the Ritchie Cunningham era of dates, dances, making out and going out.
Today, young people are txting instead of talking, sexting instead of playing spin the bottle, surfing internet porn instead of sneaking peeks at Playboy magazines.
This is all part of Hookup Culture. But when did it become A-OK for girls to announce that they were DTF? We live in a brave new world of what I call ‘asynchronous intimacy’. People used to get know each other, then have sex. Today, it’s not an exaggeration to say that they have sex, and then get to know each other (if at all).
Time-honored social norms have been abandoned. Some of this is progress, to be sure; but even desirable advances represent a double-edged sword. For instance, there are more women than men attending college now, and women are increasingly getting ahead in the classroom, the boardroom and the living room. The flip side is that soon it will be difficult for a university degree-holding female to find a similarly-educated boyfriend, or a husband who earns as much as she does.
There are what economists call externalities to all of these developments - broader social costs that we rarely factor in when contemplating the full impact of such changes.
More people living alone means greater self-fulfillment, but probably an increased risk of social isolation as well. The notion of what constitutes a couple is simultaneously being defined down (hook-ups and “friends with benefits”) as well as more expansively (same-sex unions, common law partnerships). Girls feel more free to hook up, but it’s eliminated the requirement for guys to court and emotionally connect with them first. Women are moving up in the world, but they’re going to be forced to “date down”.
More generally, people don't have the benefit of "social GPS" anymore. They don't know where they are, they don’t know where they stand, and they don’t have directions to where they’re going. It’s as if all of us are iPhones 5s, and we just downloaded the terrible Apple Maps App: the Statue of Liberty simply isn’t where it’s supposed to be.
I'm a student of history. When it comes to change, I believe that much of what we say is du jamais vu has, in fact, been seen before. Globalization is one such ‘new’ development … that's been happening since Jean-Baptiste Colbert (no relation to Stephen) and the emergence of 17th century mercantilism. But what is new is the pace of change. Cars replaced horses over multiple decades; TV overtook radio in 15 years; Facebook went from a way for a nerd to meet girls to a 100 billion dollar company (at its IPO, at least) with one billion users in just 7.
How much have things changed in those last 7 years?
As Thomas Friedman remarked, in 2005 "when I wrote The World is Flat, Skype was a typo, Twitter was a sound, 4G was a parking spot." Today’s ascendant generation - the Millennials - has never known a world without YouTube, PVRs or iPhones.
Not only is every aspect of life getting fstr, the cycle times are getting shorter. We have less time to adjust to these deep and wide changes in society, and they're coming at us like a Twitter feed.
This is not a stable state, nor an end one necessarily. The old rules are out of date, but new ones haven’t been set yet. So what can we do in the face of this Great Disruption? First, grab tight and hold on. Then, just as businesses had to reinvent themselves to adapt to new economic models, we need to rebuild our social models to adjust to the new realities.
On one level, we have to become comfortable being uncomfortable.
We have to make peace with being a little lost. But we also have to make sense of this emerging landscape, and develop new (or old) ways to navigate it for the long term. This might mean moving forward, by redefining how society looks at single people and the state regards civil unions. It might also require, however, looking backward - and returning to a bygone era where people met, dated and mated in that order.
We can’t be trapped by the tyranny of “progress”, nor by the orthodoxy of the past. Perhaps most importantly, we can’t simply sit still. “Life” is being disrupted before our eyes, and all of us, individually and collectively, risk the fates of Blockbuster and Borders - of being left behind.
I’m not arguing for a return to a “Happy Days” world, or an acceptance of a “Girls” one for that matter, either. But I do think that we need to snap back to a more thought-out and sustainable posture vis a vis this Great Disruption. My new favorite TV show is “Homeland”. It’s a taut psychological thriller that spins dark webs of deceit amid double-clutch plot twists and revelations. The two central characters - CIA agent Carrie Matheson and ex-POW and possible Manchurian Candidate Nicholas Brody - live in a lie-within-a-lie world. The show’s central appeal is the thoroughly disorienting sensation of not knowing what is real, who is the good character and the bad, and how both Carrie and Brody periodically lose and regain control of their lives.
In a sense, we all now live in a “Homeland” world - not one in which a Congressman may be a Muslim mole, or the CIA agent pursuing him may be mad - but one where good and bad, progress and regress, control and chaos all sit side by side.
Welcome to the Great Disruption.
Posted at 03:11 PM in Books, Dating & Mating, Economics, Modernity, Pop Culture, Pop Philosophy, Social commentary, Social Media, Social trends, Television | Permalink | Comments (1) | TrackBack (0)
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